EP669 | ๐
- Turning 34, the host shares that his recent blood test results showed a massive health turnaround, with all previous warning signs cleared thanks to diet and exercise.
- Despite extreme market volatility and frozen leverage quotas, the host views the recent drop as a routine consolidation in a secular bull market and is holding steady.
- He predicts that once the correction settles, capital will prioritize large-cap, high-liquidity stocks backed by immediate revenue and earnings over distant growth stories.
- TSMC's anticipated reasonable price hikes are expected to boost future earnings and valuation, while bearish research reports should be viewed as healthy shakeouts.
- Apple's hybrid AI strategy announced at WWDC may seem conservative, but its screen awareness features and massive user base position it exceptionally well for the AI era.
Reflections at 34 and Significant Health Improvements
Turning 34, the host shares that his latest blood test results showed a remarkable turnaround in his overall health indicators, with all previous warning signs completely cleared. He attributes this positive shift to his persistent dietary control and regular exercise. He expresses deep gratitude to the local listeners who quietly remembered and celebrated his birthday.
Having achieved his financial milestones years ago, the host emphasizes that he does not want to spend the next five years solely focused on stock trading. Instead, he plans to focus on venture capital, small business investments (such as Shonan Capital founded last year), and exploring new avenues in life while maintaining his physical health.
Volatility Management and the Importance of Liquidity
Addressing the recent dramatic market swings, the host remarks that while the intraday movements have been nerve-wracking, the overall trend suggests a normal correction during a secular bull market. He shares that during Monday's limit-down panic, he attempted to leverage his remaining borrowing capacity to purchase assets sold off during margin calls, only to find the leveraged quota completely frozen due to market-wide risk controls. Consequently, he chose to stand pat.
He notes that if the market breaks previous lows, the sectors that rebound first will signal where the smart money is heading next. Furthermore, because smaller OTC names pose massive exit-liquidity risks during limit-down events, the market will likely re-rate larger, highly liquid companies with real, immediate earnings.
The host does something many dip-buy takes skip: he puts liquidity ahead of conviction. That's a real edge, because in stressed tape the biggest damage often comes from being unable to execute, not from having the wrong macro view. His follow-up test โ watch which groups reclaim the lows first and show relative strength โ is also a useful sequencing habit: let capital reveal leadership before you build a narrative around it.
TSMC's Pricing Power vs. Bearish Analyst Reports
On sector news, TSMC reported strong monthly revenue, and CEO C. C. Wei's comments on reasonable price hikes align with market expectations, which should directly support future revenue growth and PE valuations.
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